Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.001122 0.001270 0.001417 0.001575 0.001740 0.001905 0.002084
2025-12-07 0.000895 0.001108 0.001328 0.001570 0.001827 0.002090 0.002379
2025-12-14 0.000694 0.000952 0.001226 0.001536 0.001872 0.002221 0.002610
2025-12-21 0.000573 0.000868 0.001193 0.001567 0.001979 0.002412 0.002899
2025-12-28 0.000435 0.000751 0.001112 0.001537 0.002013 0.002520 0.003095
2026-01-04 0.000339 0.000673 0.001067 0.001542 0.002080 0.002660 0.003321
2026-01-11 0.000250 0.000590 0.001010 0.001527 0.002122 0.002768 0.003510
2026-01-18 0.000178 0.000519 0.000961 0.001517 0.002164 0.002873 0.003692
2026-01-25 0.000099 0.000421 0.000870 0.001452 0.002140 0.002902 0.003787
2026-02-01 0.000051 0.000357 0.000816 0.001426 0.002158 0.002974 0.003928
2026-02-08 0.000023 0.000314 0.000787 0.001429 0.002207 0.003080 0.004104
2026-02-15 0.000006 0.000278 0.000764 0.001437 0.002260 0.003187 0.004280
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000255 0.000768 0.001495 0.002392 0.003408 0.004608
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000201 0.000724 0.001490 0.002449 0.003545 0.004846
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000142 0.000660 0.001457 0.002472 0.003642 0.005039
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000115 0.000646 0.001488 0.002572 0.003827 0.005330
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000072 0.000590 0.001458 0.002595 0.003922 0.005519
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000046 0.000561 0.001463 0.002659 0.004064 0.005759
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000022 0.000521 0.001449 0.002698 0.004174 0.005962
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000006 0.000485 0.001439 0.002740 0.004286 0.006166
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000417 0.001375 0.002711 0.004313 0.006271
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000377 0.001350 0.002730 0.004395 0.006437
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000355 0.001353 0.002783 0.004518 0.006649